Changes In The Top 5 Stocks From 1980 To 2020 Provide Clues To the Future

The Trends Of The Past Offer Hints At What We May Expect

Jonathan Baird CFA
The Dark Side

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The chart below offers an interesting distraction in these turbulent times. The gradual change in the composition of the largest S&P weightings teaches a variety of lessons.

The change from 1980 to 2020 (roughly half a lifetime) illustrates the remarkable diminishment of the economic influence of the oil industry in favour of the dominance of companies empowered by the development of the internet.

The much greater weighting represented by the top 5 in 2020 than in previous years suggests that we can expect greater S&P volatility, both up and down, in the years ahead.

The most conspicuous lesson, of course, is the role that change plays in the capital markets and our lives. The top 5 stocks in 2060 will look very different than in 2020, though it is safe to say they will be the product of evolving technology.

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Jonathan Baird CFA
The Dark Side

PUBLISHER OF THE GLOBAL INVESTMENT LETTER. AWARD-WINNING MONEY MANAGER. SPEAKER ON GEOPOLITICS AND MARKETS. www.globalinvestmentletter.com